The QB Stock Market

For 2024 Draftees

Written by NFL QB Consultant Jordan Palmer & The QB Summit Team


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In today’s Cover 3:

This week we’re looking at:

  • The winds of change this Spring

  • The QB stock market for 2024 draftees

  • How next year’s draft class affects this year

Ohio State Football/Sports Illustrated

Winds of Change this Spring

As the spring sun warms up the gridirons and campuses nationwide, college football braces for a pivotal phase—the winds of change are upon us this spring.

With spring games set to kick off on college campuses, we're gearing up for a whirlwind of transitions, akin to a high-stakes game of musical chairs for many collegiate athletes.

Not Just Another Scrimmage

For these players, the spring game isn't just another scrimmage—it's the grand finale of phase one of the offseason. It's their moment to shine, to impress the coaches, and to solidify their spots on the team roster.

But beyond the touchdowns and tackles lies a period of uncertainty, where movement and change loom large.

As players gear up for the long break stretching from May through July, the offseason grind kicks into high gear. Amidst the grueling training sessions and occasional team meetings, there's an unmistakable sense of anticipation in the air—a feeling that change is brewing.

The Transfers

For some players, this change may come in the form of a transfer to a new school—a chance to seek out better opportunities and greener pastures.

Whether it's the promise of more playing time, a better fit with a new coach's style, or the allure of NIL money, the motivations vary, but the goal remains the same—a fresh start elsewhere.

It's a harsh reality of the game, one that not everyone welcomes with open arms. But in today's college football landscape, loyalty to a single program is being tested by the pursuit of individual success and advancement—a trend driven by shifting dynamics within the sport.

Brace For Change

As fans gear up to watch their beloved college teams take the field for spring games, they should also brace themselves for the possibility of change. From star quarterbacks to unsung heroes on defense, no position is safe from the winds of change swirling through the college football world.

So as you cheer for your alma mater or jeer at your arch-rivals, keep a keen eye out for the whispers of change that echo through the players and programs this spring. In college football, as in life, change is inevitable, and the winds of change are blowing stronger than ever this offseason.

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QB Stock Market for 2024 Draftees

The quarterback stock market for the 2024 draft class is buzzing, and it's like déjà vu all over again.

Every year, we go through the same song and dance, with analysts dissecting every throw, every pro day performance, and every whispered rumor like it's the Holy Grail of scouting.

The Media Is In A Bind

It's a bit of a comedy, really. This time of year, the NFL and college football media are in a bind. The regular season is a distant memory, and the draft is still on the horizon.

So what do they do? They fixate on the quarterback carousel, churning out headlines about rising and falling stocks as if they were playing the stock market.

But let's not get too caught up in the hype. When you hear that a quarterback's stock is soaring, it's like playing a game of two truths and a lie.

Sure, there might be some genuine evaluation going on, with scouts uncovering hidden talents that boost a player's draft stock. But more often than not, it's a strategic move by teams higher up in the draft order.

Here’s An Example

Take J.J. McCarthy, for example. Suddenly, reports surface that his stock is on the rise. But why? Is it because scouts have unearthed some hidden gems in his game? Maybe.

Or perhaps it's because teams further down the draft order are looking to inflate his perceived value, hoping to engineer a trade and secure their preferred non-quarterback prospect later on.

The Simple Truth

It's a game of cat and mouse, with smokescreens and deception at every turn. But behind all the noise, there's a simple truth: the quarterback stock market is as unpredictable as ever, driven by a mix of genuine evaluation and strategic maneuvering. 

So the next time you hear that a quarterback's stock is rising, take it with a grain of salt. In this world of draft season poker, sometimes a bluff can be just as valuable as a royal flush.

Chris Gardner/Getty Images

How Next Year Affects This Year

In the high-stakes world of NFL draft strategy, there's a hidden factor that often flies under the radar: how next year's draft class can influence decisions made in the current year.

It's a dynamic interplay of talent evaluation, strategic maneuvering, and the ever-present quest for the perfect quarterback.

Look At Last Year

Cast your mind back just 12 months, and you'll find yourself in a landscape where Bryce Young was poised to claim the coveted title of the number one pick, closely followed by the ascent of C.J. Stroud as the potential number two.

But lurking in the shadows was Caleb Williams, a quarterback with the potential to disrupt the draft hierarchy if given the chance.

For teams eyeing the top spots but hesitant to commit to Young or Stroud, the prospect of Williams looming on the horizon provided a glimmer of hope.

Take the Carolina Panthers, for instance, who orchestrated a blockbuster trade with the Chicago Bears to secure the first overall pick and draft Young.

Fast forward to today, and the Bears find themselves in possession of that coveted top selection, courtesy of the Panthers' forward-thinking move.

Hindsight Is 20/20

Hindsight, as they say, is 20/20. In hindsight, the Panthers could have held off on their aggressive move for Young and potentially secured Williams this year, given their dismal performance last season.

So what lies in store for next year's draft class, and how might it impact the decisions of teams eyeing this year's prospects?

While it's impossible to predict the entire landscape of next year's class, there are a few standout players worth considering. Take Carson Beck, the Georgia quarterback, for example.

With his blend of NFL-ready traits and a winning pedigree, he's sure to garner attention from scouts and front offices alike.

Then there's Will Howard, the transfer from Kansas State to Ohio State, who finds himself in a prime position to shine under the guidance of Chip Kelly.

Dylan Gabriel's move from Oklahoma to Oregon adds another layer of intrigue, while Bo Nix's quest for redemption after his tenure at Auburn promises to be a storyline worth following.

And let's not forget about Jalen Miller at Alabama and Kincaid Klubnik, the former top recruit, both poised to make waves in the college football landscape.

Every Team Will Weigh The Future

Yet, amidst the speculation and anticipation surrounding next year's prospects, one thing remains certain: every NFL team in the market for a quarterback will undoubtedly weigh the talent pool of the future before making their final decision for the present.

Whether it's a single meeting or a series of discussions, the pipeline of talent awaiting its moment in the spotlight will undoubtedly shape the draft landscape for years to come.


We’re introducing something new: A simple question for you to give us YOUR thoughts on a trending question in football this week!

Which QB In Next Year's Draft Are You Looking Forward To?

We talked about a few in today's Cover 3. Who are you most excited to watch?

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